Seven Bay low-pressure systems later, Andhra is still 51.2 per cent down on the southwest monsoon, and all 28 districts are deficient.

Seven low-pressure areas formed over the Bay of Bengal between 1 July and 25 August 2026 — on 3 July, 17 July, 24 July, 8 August, 11 August, 16 August and 23 August. Two intensified into depressions and one into a deep depression. Andhra Pradesh did not benefit significantly. That is the Tuesday meteorology on a public account filed from Vijayawada. It is not a statewide monsoon reversal.

The latest system formed over Gangetic West Bengal and the northwest Bay on 23 August, likely to move west-northwestwards in the 24 hours ending 5 p.m. Wednesday. Light showers fell at isolated places on 24 August. On Tuesday only a few places in coastal Andhra received rainfall, none recording more than 25 millimetres, per real-time Directorate of Economics and Statistics data. Twenty-five millimetres is a Tuesday coastal cap on that real-time feed. This desk will not invent a statewide millimetre total beyond that cap.

The India Meteorological Department forecast light rain at a few places in North Coastal Andhra Pradesh on 26 August, but no forecast of widespread rainfall in the State until 29 August. Scientist O.P. Sreejith, Climate Research and Services, India Meteorological Department, Pune, said systems were producing only localised rainfall, possibly due to large-scale subsidence associated with El Niño. Localised rainfall and an El Niño-linked subsidence line are the scientist’s Tuesday explanation. They are not a drought gazette this desk will write.

During the first three months of the southwest monsoon — June, July and August — Andhra Pradesh has recorded a 51.2 per cent rainfall deficit. All 28 districts are deficient. The highest named deficits on the Tuesday card are Annamayya 75.9 per cent, Prakasam 67.5 per cent and Chittoor 65 per cent. Fifty-one point two per cent, all 28 districts, 75.9, 67.5 and 65 are Directorate / meteorological figures on that account. September too is likely to be a relatively dry month. Experts fear grim conditions could persist, with a severe impact on farmers. Expert fear is labelled as such. It is not a crop-loss certificate.

This cutting is distinct from the already-shipped farmer-identity and kharif-procurement card and from earlier kharif-deficit cards. These are Tuesday Directorate of Economics and Statistics and India Meteorological Department numbers. A separate Tuesday irrigation file on north-coast inflows at Gotta, Thatipudi and Madduvalasa is another geography. This desk will not use a Srikakulam–Vizianagaram inflow card to cancel a statewide 51.2 per cent deficit.

Vijayawada holds the Directorate and the meteorological desk. Annamayya, Prakasam and Chittoor are the three named highest-deficit districts. All 28 districts are on the deficient list. Form B and any poll date are not notified on a rainfall card.

Until a later meteorological bulletin writes a new statewide number, the public ledger is seven Bay low-pressure systems between 1 July and 25 August, two depressions and one deep depression, little benefit to Andhra Pradesh, a Tuesday coastal cap of no station above 25 millimetres, a 26 August north-coast light-rain line and no widespread forecast until 29 August, a 51.2 per cent deficit over June–August, all 28 districts deficient, Annamayya 75.9 per cent, Prakasam 67.5 per cent, Chittoor 65 per cent, a relatively dry September in the forecast, and an El Niño-linked localised-rain explanation from O.P. Sreejith. Seven systems. Still 51.2 per cent down. The north-coast inflow card does not rewrite this map.